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Hip hip hooray daddy!
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this post was submitted on 06 Oct 2024
842 points (98.1% liked)
Enough Musk Spam
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They seem to honestly believe that Musk will get human beings to Mars before the end of Trump's next term (under the assumption he has one).
I'm sorry. This won't happen in Trump's next term (assuming he has one). This won't happen in my lifetime. This won't happen in the lifetime of anybody currently over the age of 20.
MAYBE someone who was born today will see human beings land on Mars.
MAYBE the grandchildren of someone born today will see human beings build something semi-permanent on Mars.
I mean the technical hurdles aren't insurmountable. But we lack the political will power to put resources needed into it.
It would take 60s moon landing level of commitment for 10-15 years to do any sooner.
It's technically feasible in the bare minimum “Got there” sense. Bringing someone and getting them back. But we learned a lot by the moon exploration, and that is that we aren't ready for colonization. Living there, for a long time, let alone indefinitely, that is where the million details are still unresolved. I think that's the problem that is worth tackling. We already know we can live in space for a long time as long as there are continuous shipments of resources from Earth. We could just flood the logistics problem with money and get to mars next year if we wanted to. Other than the psychologically horrifyingly long distances involved, of course.
I'll say that Andy Weir got most of it right on how to do manned missions to Mars.
You build a huge space station, and then use that as the ship that goes to and from Mars.
Then the actual mission on the surface lasting a month or three before the astronauts pack up and head home.