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Shoigu's Statements Contrasted: March '22 vs Sept '23
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Further digging leads me to believe you are right, and some of this body language expertise is about as valid as chiropractors. I do think he's looking around a lot, and on the "who will win?" there is a very exaggerated sidewards glance at the same time as he does his shrug. None of this appears normal behaviour for him. I can't back it up scientifically, you are correct.
Reasonableness on the Fediverse is so fucking refreshing.
FWIW: my only problem is the with the pseudoscience, your picking up his odd behavior is totally correct. I wouldn't trust this guy as far as I could throw him, just not sure what we can decide scientifically from clips like this.