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Me after I got fired
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The point being made is that it also depends how often the 'true' value gets used in the code. Tests might only evaluate it a few times per run, or they could cause billions of evaluations per run. You can't know the probability of a test failure without knowing the occurrence rate of that expression.
Yes you're correct, this was the point I was making.
To elaborate: could be 100s of times in a codebase, even 1000s, being executed in tests on local machines and build servers 100s of times a day, etc. etc.
But it would hit a different place every time... Most developers wouldn't even consider checking for this, and the chance of getting a repro in a debugger is slim to none