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I updated my comment so hopefully it's clearer. Its well documented that Russia and China use social media to spread FUD, which undoubtedly includes the fediverse.
This part is conjecture: it seems likely that the fediverse is an entry point for FUD because the lack of moderation and the large number of users sympathetic to their cause.
It's utterly convenient that your conspiracy theory allows you to dismiss those whose opinions you don't like.
Are you implying FUD is a conspiracy theory? Or that FUD exists on the fediverse is a conspiracy theory? Or that the recent "vote uncommitted movement is FUD" is the conspiracy theory?
Regardless, I'm not dismissing the vote uncommitted opinion, and I certainly don't dislike it. Even if the "vote uncommitted" movement is Russian FUD I'm all in on it, and I'm even committed to taking it a step further because I'm so upset about the Joe Biden's extreme facists policies.
I'm saying that every time you see someone who doesn't support genocide, you immediately jump to "they must be Russian!"
"vote uncommitted movement is FUD" is the conspiracy theory
Sorry for not making it more clear, that is an example of how FUD works and not something I know for certain is FUD.
It has a lot of the hallmarks of a Russian FUD campaign. It's catchy, it's easy to explain and understand, it has a very strong appeal to emotion, it's easy for someone to participate in and feel good about themselves, it allows participants to feel connected to a cause without actually having to really do anything, it undermines Biden's presidency to the benefit of Russia and Trump.
Given the timing, the nature of the campaign, how it seems to be spreading, and who benefits from it, I think that there's a really good chance that Russians or some other group are amplifying and spreading the campaign even if they didn't originate it.
I am open to the possibility that it's a purely organic campaign, however we're unlikely to ever know with certainty if the vote uncommited campaign is FUD or organic. Unfortunately that's just the nature of FUD which makes it so effective.