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this post was submitted on 19 Apr 2024
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Generative AI and LLMs is not what people mean when they're talking about the dangers of AI. What we worry about doesn't exist yet.
I dont think AI sentience as danger is going to be an issue in our lifetimes - we're 123 years in January since the first well known story featuring this trope (Karel Čapek's Rossumovi Univerzáiní Robotī)
We are a long way off from being able to copy virtual perception, action and unified agency of even basic organisms right now.
Therefore all claims about the "dangers" of AI are only dangers of humans using the tool (akin to the dangers of driving a car vs the dangers of cars attacking their owners without human interaction) and thus are just marketing hyperbole
in my opinion of course
Well yeah perhaps, but isn't that kind of like knowing that an asteroid is heading towards earth and feeling no urgency about it? There's non-zero chance that we'll create AGI withing the next couple years. The chances may be low but consequences have the potential to literally end humanity - or worse.
"non zero" isnt exactly convincing, to me. there is also a non-zero chance God exists.
I mean... It might be. Just depends on how much potential there still is to get models up to higher reasoning capabilities, and I don't think anyone really knows that yet
Yeah maybe. I just personally don't think LLMs are actually intelligent. They're just capable of faking intelligence but at the same time making errors that perfectly indicate that it's basically just bluffing. I'd be more worried about an AI that knows less things but demonstrates higer capability for logic and reasoning.