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this post was submitted on 01 Aug 2024
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Dunno. The last 2 weeks posts on c/personalfinance are just return2ozma doomscrying an imminent recession. As near as I can remember, there's been people warning of imminent recession every day for the past 30 years. Occasionally, they're right.
Online opinion is biased towards perpetual doomsday because the average person wants the markets to crash so they can buy cheap stocks.
No, the average person panic sells when there's a correction, and they miss the upswing. So many people lose their retirement savings because they try to time the market.
I would personally like a significant market correction because I think I'm a pretty disciplined investor, but I highly doubt the average person thinks that way.
Also, a market crash doesn't just mean stock prices fall, it also means more layoffs, increasing prices (as companies try to maintain profits), and the risk of cascading failure (e.g. foreclosures and defaults adding stress to the banking system). My job is pretty secure, but that's not true for a lot of people. So no, I don't think the average person wants a crash.