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submitted 2 months ago by lemmee_in@lemm.ee to c/news@lemmy.world

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) cannot reveal weather forecasts from a particularly accurate hurricane prediction model to the public that pays for the American government agency – because of a deal with a private insurance risk firm.

The model at issue is called the Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program (HFIP) Corrected Consensus Approach (HCCA). In 2023, it was deemed in a National Hurricane Center (NHC) report [PDF] to be one of the two "best performers," the other being a model called IVCN (Intensity Variable Consensus).

2020 contract between NOAA and RenaissanceRe Risk Sciences, disclosed in response to a Freedom of Information Act request by The Washington Post, requires NOAA to keep HCCA forecasts – which incorporate a proprietary technique from RenaissanceRe – secret for five years.

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[-] lemmee_in@lemm.ee 10 points 2 months ago

shifting weather in the Sahara desert has also impacted this year's hurricane season

Sahara desert hit by extraordinary rainfall event that could mess with this year's hurricane season

this post was submitted on 02 Oct 2024
495 points (96.1% liked)

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