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why is this race so close?
(lemmy.world)
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this post was submitted on 15 Oct 2024
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If you go by the polls, the two candidates are within margin of error of each other, or very close. We're looking at a possibility that Trump would not only win the EC, but the overall popular vote, as well.
The EC is not the only issue at play. Millions of Americans either like Trump or are willing to handwave his behavior away rather than vote for a Democrat.
No Republican has won the popular vote in 22 years, and that was because of 9/11. Before that, it was George Bush Sr. in 1988.
Great. Not what's going on right now.
We'll see in a month.
Nope, we won't. I say that because my claim is specifically that the EC is not the only thing going on. If the EC breaks with the popular vote next month, it still won't be the only thing going on.
You claimed that Trump might win the popular vote, and that's very, very unlikely (but not impossible). That's the only part I was referring to.