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this post was submitted on 02 Dec 2024
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Because there isn't going to BE a settlement. Not a while longer anyway.
Trump is going to say "Ukraine, let Russia have whatever it has taken". Ukraine is (rightfully) going to say "fuck that...they're not getting an inch". Trump responds by stopping all aid.
This is a buildup to help them while they transition on only being able to rely on the EU for support because Trump is all up in papa-putin's-panties and Biden knows it.
It’s true, a lot depends on what Europe will be doing. Without American leadership it’s going to be difficult, though. Germany and France don’t have functioning governments right now and there’s ever more war weary European nations. So Europe’s split.
Zelensky knows that and he’s been talking about ceding occupied territory for the first time. Everybody seems to be scrambling for a final result is my interpretation of what’s happening right now. I personally hope that the war will be at least halted and Europe won’t try it on its own.
He hasn't been talking about sceding territory, only ceasfire and let the russians on those territories for now.
you’re right he didn’t say that. I understood it like that. Nevertheless there are expectations that a ceasefire might come.
Don't forget that if the russians can regroup during the ceasefire before an attack again (they do break any promise they make) then it's a bad ceasefire.
Not saying a ceasefire shouldn't be sought for, but IMO it's mostly political play to keep the USA on their side, so both smart and good. Keep all the options open.