CBC poll aggregator puts the probabilities of next year's federal election outcomes at Conservative majority--94%, Conservative minority--4%, Liberal government--1%.
I didn't realize things were this bleak.
I feel some deja vu watching Trudeau refuse to step aside (early enough), just like with Biden.
A friend of mine thinks no one really wants to replace Trudeau as Liberal leader, for what's most likely to be a decisive loss.
I posted an article with a headline about Trudeau's GST holiday and $200 checks signalling that he's out of ideas or that it 'smacks of desperation'. Lemmy.ca didn't seem to like it much. But I look at the gesture like, "that's the best you can do for a fighting chance at forming a government?"
I don't like their disinclination to truly represent the working classes, and the general loss of that representation in politics more widely at the moment (eg, shift towards conservativism and authoritinarianism).
Are we just defeatedly marching towards 4 years of a PP government? Realistically, can/will anything be done, even for a greater chance at a Conservative minority, never mind an ABC government?
The Liberals have been running on "we aren't the Conservatives" since the early 2000s. They got into government when they articulated a vision in 2015. It helped that Harper had hit his sell-buy date, but whatever.
The ABC thing feels like crying wolf. It only works for so long. Meanwhile, the Liberals haven't provided a vision (or likeable policy) since the pandemic. It's easy to see why voters want to switch it up.
Yup.
https://www.readthemaple.com/trudeaus-failure-to-benefit-workers-has-empowered-conservatives/ (bold mine):
And when the Liberals fail to deliver the leftist policies the people wanted, the people turn around and vote for the Conservatives instead of the NDP.
People are so fucking stupid.