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This is monumentally stupid. Does he think he can take the #2 spot, let alone #1?
He'll still be number 3, but his rug-pull will definitely change the outcome of this binary choice.
The choice is between elections ASAP and elections in October, which is 4 years from the last election.
The political calculation is therefore how much do you let the Liberals get completely eviscerated. Arguably, the longer Trudeau leads a lame-duck, ineffective and generally very unpopular government, the stronger the Conservatives will emerge. So cut your losses now, and hope for a Conservative minority government...
It's difficult to call for Trudeau to resign and also vote that you have confidence in Trudeau as a leader. Obviously he doesn't want to hand the government to the Conservatives but supporting Trudeau wasn't winning any favours either.
He probably believes (correctly or not I can't say) that his party can get more seats if he votes no, and either way an ineffectual leader can't keep populists out of office, so how long Trudeau spends in office is meaningless.
this post was submitted on 21 Dec 2024
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