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[-] JeeBaiChow@lemmy.world 2 points 8 hours ago

Ok, then let's encourage those republicans to sit this one out then. Commanding lead and all...

[-] SatansMaggotyCumFart@lemmy.world 28 points 16 hours ago* (last edited 16 hours ago)

Five posts in thirteen minutes in the same community?

[-] jordanlund@lemmy.world 11 points 14 hours ago* (last edited 14 hours ago)

Point of comparison: For the communities I moderate I try to keep it around 3 per DAY that I submit for fear I'll dominate the conversation.

[-] SatansMaggotyCumFart@lemmy.world 7 points 14 hours ago* (last edited 14 hours ago)

They’ve had about seventeen in the last day and are in the comment sections riling up the community the whole time.

I’ve never seen someone post so many comments in their own posts and 90% are bad faith copypastas.

[-] MegaUltraChicken@lemmy.world 17 points 16 hours ago

They're just sooooo interested in these articles, it's totally innocent friend. Thanks!

[-] Theprogressivist@lemmy.world 13 points 15 hours ago* (last edited 15 hours ago)

What? I'm just posting political articles on a political sub and following guidelines. If you have an issue with that, you can message the mod team.

[-] Tolookah@discuss.tchncs.de 8 points 16 hours ago

I am glad we can have a civil conversation about this, friend. Speed reading like that is quite a skill.

[-] Myxomatosis@lemmy.world 7 points 15 hours ago

I thought this dude was just a Shill Stein supporter not a MAGA freak.

[-] MapleEngineer@lemmy.world 2 points 1 hour ago

I have them tagged as a Trump Propagandist.

[-] jordanlund@lemmy.world 10 points 14 hours ago

Of the 5 currently undecided states, Trump needs 3-4 to win. PA + 2 to 3 more.

Harris needs 1. PA. That's it. Even if she loses PA, there's a path to win with 2 states or 3 states.

I made a whole comment on it here:

https://lemmy.world/comment/12782790

[-] Nollij@sopuli.xyz 6 points 14 hours ago* (last edited 14 hours ago)

538 is not a reliable source since Nate Silver left. He's written about why, but that's not the point here.

Michigan and Wisconsin are still very much up in the air. Most polls have them within the margin of error. That means they could very easily turn out red, even without anything being wrong with the polling method. The other states are even closer.

It's a terrifyingly close election, and even the smallest influence could change the result. What does the weather look like on election day? How did your portfolio do the day before? How long are the lines?

These could alter the course of history, even if we ignore things like more hurricanes in swing states.

Harris still has a slight edge, but it's barely above 50/50. Get out and vote (even in a safe red/blue state), vote the whole ballot, and do whatever you can to get others to vote as well. Ideally, vote early so nothing can interfere at the last minute.

[-] jordanlund@lemmy.world 1 points 14 hours ago

538 is an aggregate.

If you look at the polling page for Michigan:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/michigan/

Harris wins 4 out of the 7 most recent polls. Trump wins 2. One was a tie.

Right now, things are looking good in MI and the 3rd party vote is right at 0 to 1% as predicted.

[-] Nollij@sopuli.xyz 2 points 12 hours ago

Yes, and Harris by 1.7 (as it shows currently) is still within the margin of error. Assuming a 3% margin of error (common, but I didn't look at the details for any of these polls), anything from Harris by 4.7 to Trump by 1.3 is perfectly in line with predictions.

In human terms, Harris has a very narrow lead, which could easily disappear when people actually go to the polls.

[-] just_another_person@lemmy.world 2 points 13 hours ago

What everyone is not taking into account is that every state and local election since the overturning of Rowe has skewed pro-Democrat and outside the margin of error. I expect the same from the Presidential election alone. I'm more worried about what's happening with Congress.

[-] smokebuddy@lemmy.today 3 points 16 hours ago

Mark Halperin is a gross pervert, glad only newsmax will continue to hire him.

[-] MediaBiasFactChecker@lemmy.world 2 points 16 hours ago

Newsweek - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)Information for Newsweek:

MBFC: Right-Center - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: Mostly Factual - United States of America
Wikipedia about this source

Search topics on Ground.Newshttps://www.newsweek.com/republicans-believe-election-effectively-over-trump-will-win-analyst-1965956#:~:text=A%20significant%20number%20of%20Republicans%20have%20declared%20the
Media Bias Fact Check | bot support

this post was submitted on 08 Oct 2024
-46 points (11.7% liked)

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