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Shoigu's Statements Contrasted: March '22 vs Sept '23
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He looks to the right a lot, especially on the last question. Looking right is indicative of using the creative part of the mind, rather than factual or logical.
Can you cite some studies for this, please? Preferably reproduced, peer reviewed ones?
I don't mean to be mean, but I have heard things like this and from everything I have been able to gather, there's no evidence for being able to tell how someone is thinking just from their movements or tics.
Further digging leads me to believe you are right, and some of this body language expertise is about as valid as chiropractors. I do think he's looking around a lot, and on the "who will win?" there is a very exaggerated sidewards glance at the same time as he does his shrug. None of this appears normal behaviour for him. I can't back it up scientifically, you are correct.
Reasonableness on the Fediverse is so fucking refreshing.
FWIW: my only problem is the with the pseudoscience, your picking up his odd behavior is totally correct. I wouldn't trust this guy as far as I could throw him, just not sure what we can decide scientifically from clips like this.